"Hot inflation prints are coming in and this has made it more dynamic and challenging for western Central Banks. Labor demand is above labor supply for the first time in 30 years. At the same time, individual U.S. tax receipts fell 9% year-over-year in January. This would be true in a mild recession. The Federal Reserve thinks that they have to get unemployment up to get inflation down. There is continued upward pressure on treasury yields. The JOLTs number minus disability claims and overdose deaths is not that strong," says Luke Gromen.
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02 Mar 2023
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